Wednesday, February 6, 2008

McCain vs.??

All along everyone seemed to think Billary would win and it would be McCain vs Clinton in November.
Are you still convinced? And, if Obama wins, do you think McCain can beat him in the general election?
Obama did quite well last night; CNN is reporting that Clinton and Obama finished .04% apart, with New Mexico and California still counting. Clinton won 7,350,238 votes (50.2 percent) while Obama captured 7,295,400 votes (49.8 percent).
To date Clinton has 823 delegates; Omaba has 741. Over the next week, Louisiana, Washington state, Nebraska, Maine, Virginia, Maryland and the District of Columbia will vote.

Here are some reasons why I think Obama may win the nomination:

He is taking her base:
He shows up in town and his numbers go up. She shows up and her numbers go down. Going forward he can focus his efforts on specific contests, 20+ states at once was hard on everyone. If he can gain more support from white woman and Latino voters, she will be in real trouble.

He has more cash:
In January, Omaba raised $32 million to Clintons $13 million. In fact, it was reported today that Clinton loaned her campaign $5 million in January, a move that her people are stating “shows her commitment” not a lack of funds. A lack of funds is the reason many think she requested weekly debates, it’s free.

In the general election, the GOP will make mincemeat out of Billary:
Speaking to members of Congress and other party leaders this morning, Obama predicted the GOP would unload a “dump truck full dirt” on Billary if she wins the nomination. He has spent the past year being vetting by the Clinton machine who, you can be sure, has attempted to dig up and/or spin any morsel possible.

“America Returns!”
He is gaining worldwide support. Our friends in other counties are hypercritical of Bush and his policies on Iraq. This election is perceived as the end of their gloom and doom relationship with America. The winner will be the new face of America. McCain and Obama are the favored candidates; so far I have not read of anyone that supports Clinton. This will become an important consideration for Democrat party members.

Independents like him:
While Clinton had a five-point edge with Democrats on Tuesday, Obama had a 21-point lead among independents. That makes Obama by far the most likely to heal partisan divisions, and to beat McCain.


She thinks we’re dolts.
I will not mention the timed crying jags, but instead point out that Teddy K’s endorsement was about Super Delegates, not voters. Clinton bragged about her win in Massachusetts “even though” Kennedy endorsed Obama. Teddy has got a bit of a past, which probably influenced voters. His standing Washington is another thing, he is one of the most experienced and respected Democrats in the Senete – a GIANT in the Democratic Party. The Kennedy endorsement sends the message to the party super-delegates not to be afraid of Bill Clinton, who will be pulling in 35 years of you-owe-me’s.

Al Gore hasn’t endorsed Clinton
Nuf said.

3 comments:

C. Hedges said...

Money will be the key. Hillary's not raising as much as Obama. If that trend keeps up, he'll be able to outspend her.

Build in Northwest Indiana said...

I agree.
CNN is reporting that heading into Saturday's contests, only nine pledged delegates separated Clinton and Obama. Clinton has amassed 840 pledged delegates to Obama's 831
What I do not want to have happen is for the party Super-delegates to end up making the decision. If you think about the essence of a “grass-roots” democracy is seems wrong for party governors, members of Congress, former presidents, VP’s etc to end up making the decision.

daltonsbriefs said...

The super delegates will be the tie breaking votes on the issue of accepting the Michigan and Florida delegates. They will suggest that we have to allow these poor Wolverines and Gators the right to vote. Then she wins because she actually worked to win those states even though she promised not to.

I'm sorry Jean, but I think Obama would be better off pulling out now, calling her dirty names, and waiting till 2012 when he can probably easily beat the Republican candidate at that time.

By the way, could use some reciprocating commeting over at my sites too, get in the debates there too. :-)